Stock Analysis

The five-year shareholder returns and company earnings persist lower as Oriental Carbon & Chemicals (NSE:OCCL) stock falls a further 16% in past week

NSEI:OCCL
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In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Oriental Carbon & Chemicals Limited (NSE:OCCL) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 43% over a half decade. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 16%.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Oriental Carbon & Chemicals isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

See our latest analysis for Oriental Carbon & Chemicals

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Oriental Carbon & Chemicals' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 9.5% each year. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 11% average annual decrease in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:OCCL Earnings Per Share Growth May 30th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Oriental Carbon & Chemicals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Oriental Carbon & Chemicals, it has a TSR of -39% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Oriental Carbon & Chemicals shareholders are down 13% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 46%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Oriental Carbon & Chemicals better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Oriental Carbon & Chemicals , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

But note: Oriental Carbon & Chemicals may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.