Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Hi-Tech Pipes Limited's (NSE:HITECH) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Hi-Tech Pipes issued 28% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Hi-Tech Pipes' EPS by clicking here.
A Look At The Impact Of Hi-Tech Pipes' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
As you can see above, Hi-Tech Pipes has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 81% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 18% over the same period. And at a glance the 66% gain in profit over the last year impresses. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 23% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Hi-Tech Pipes can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Hi-Tech Pipes' Profit Performance
Hi-Tech Pipes shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Because of this, we think that it may be that Hi-Tech Pipes' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 18% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Hi-Tech Pipes as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Hi-Tech Pipes.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hi-Tech Pipes' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hi-Tech Pipes might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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