Stock Analysis

Is Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals (NSE:DEEPAKFERT) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:DEEPAKFERT
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals Corporation Limited (NSE:DEEPAKFERT) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals

What Is Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals had ₹41.5b of debt, up from ₹37.0b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₹6.19b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹35.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:DEEPAKFERT Debt to Equity History September 12th 2024

A Look At Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals had liabilities of ₹30.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹33.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹6.19b as well as receivables valued at ₹16.8b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹40.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals is worth ₹134.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals has net debt worth 2.4 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 2.5 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Shareholders should be aware that Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals's EBIT was down 25% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On the face of it, Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.