Stock Analysis

Cool Caps Industries Limited (NSE:COOLCAPS) Stocks Shoot Up 35% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

NSEI:COOLCAPS
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Cool Caps Industries Limited (NSE:COOLCAPS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 35% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 18% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Cool Caps Industries is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.4x, considering almost half the companies in India's Packaging industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Cool Caps Industries

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:COOLCAPS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 18th 2024

What Does Cool Caps Industries' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Cool Caps Industries' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cool Caps Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Cool Caps Industries' Revenue Growth Trending?

Cool Caps Industries' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Cool Caps Industries' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

What Does Cool Caps Industries' P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Cool Caps Industries' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's no surprise that Cool Caps Industries can support its high P/S given the strong revenue growth its experienced over the last three-year is superior to the current industry outlook. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Cool Caps Industries has 4 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.