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These 4 Measures Indicate That Century Plyboards (India) (NSE:CENTURYPLY) Is Using Debt Extensively
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Century Plyboards (India) Limited (NSE:CENTURYPLY) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Century Plyboards (India)
How Much Debt Does Century Plyboards (India) Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Century Plyboards (India) had ₹11.5b of debt, up from ₹4.72b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹369.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹11.1b.
How Strong Is Century Plyboards (India)'s Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Century Plyboards (India) had liabilities of ₹14.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹3.92b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹369.3m in cash and ₹4.95b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹13.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Century Plyboards (India) shares are worth a total of ₹158.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
We'd say that Century Plyboards (India)'s moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.4), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 15.7 times, makes us even more comfortable. Shareholders should be aware that Century Plyboards (India)'s EBIT was down 29% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Century Plyboards (India)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Century Plyboards (India) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Century Plyboards (India)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Century Plyboards (India)'s debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Century Plyboards (India) (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:CENTURYPLY
Century Plyboards (India)
Manufactures and sells plywood, laminates, decorative veneers, medium density fiber boards (MDF), pre-laminated boards, particle boards, and flush doors in India.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.