Stock Analysis

At ₹241, Is Century Plyboards (India) Limited (NSE:CENTURYPLY) Worth Looking At Closely?

NSEI:CENTURYPLY
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While Century Plyboards (India) Limited (NSE:CENTURYPLY) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NSEI. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Century Plyboards (India)’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Century Plyboards (India)

What's the opportunity in Century Plyboards (India)?

Century Plyboards (India) appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Century Plyboards (India)’s ratio of 51.08x is above its peer average of 10.21x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Forestry industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Century Plyboards (India)’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Century Plyboards (India)?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:CENTURYPLY Earnings and Revenue Growth December 25th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Century Plyboards (India)'s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? CENTURYPLY’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe CENTURYPLY should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CENTURYPLY for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CENTURYPLY, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Century Plyboards (India), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Century Plyboards (India) you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Century Plyboards (India), you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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