Stock Analysis

We Think Atul (NSE:ATUL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NSEI:ATUL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Atul Ltd (NSE:ATUL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Atul

What Is Atul's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Atul had debt of ₹2.32b, up from ₹469.8m in one year. But it also has ₹4.96b in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₹2.64b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ATUL Debt to Equity History July 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Atul's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Atul had liabilities of ₹8.88b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹4.24b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹4.96b as well as receivables valued at ₹9.49b due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹1.32b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Atul's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹204.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Atul boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact Atul's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 35% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Atul can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Atul may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Atul burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Atul has ₹2.64b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Atul does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Atul that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.