The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Atul Ltd (NSE:ATUL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Atul
What Is Atul's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Atul had ₹469.8m of debt in March 2023, down from ₹1.38b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds ₹2.42b in cash, so it actually has ₹1.95b net cash.
A Look At Atul's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Atul had liabilities of ₹8.40b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹2.08b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹2.42b as well as receivables valued at ₹8.45b due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹376.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This state of affairs indicates that Atul's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹204.6b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, Atul boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact Atul's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 22% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Atul's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Atul may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Considering the last three years, Atul actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Atul has ₹1.95b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Atul does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Atul's earnings per share history for free.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ATUL
Atul
Manufactures and sells chemicals and other chemical products worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.