Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Limited's (NSE:ICICIGI) P/E

NSEI:ICICIGI
Source: Shutterstock

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.4x ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Limited (NSE:ICICIGI) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ICICI Lombard General Insurance could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for ICICI Lombard General Insurance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ICICIGI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 16th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think ICICI Lombard General Insurance's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For ICICI Lombard General Insurance?

ICICI Lombard General Insurance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen a 17% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that ICICI Lombard General Insurance is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On ICICI Lombard General Insurance's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of ICICI Lombard General Insurance's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with ICICI Lombard General Insurance.

You might be able to find a better investment than ICICI Lombard General Insurance. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ICICI Lombard General Insurance is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.