Stock Analysis

Bajaj Consumer Care's (NSE:BAJAJCON) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

NSEI:BAJAJCON
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A lackluster earnings announcement from Bajaj Consumer Care Limited (NSE:BAJAJCON) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:BAJAJCON Earnings and Revenue History July 28th 2025
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A Closer Look At Bajaj Consumer Care's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2025, Bajaj Consumer Care recorded an accrual ratio of 0.27. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of ₹593m, which is significantly less than its profit of ₹1.25b. Bajaj Consumer Care shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Bajaj Consumer Care's Profit Performance

Bajaj Consumer Care's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Bajaj Consumer Care's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Bajaj Consumer Care you should be mindful of and 1 of these doesn't sit too well with us.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Bajaj Consumer Care's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bajaj Consumer Care might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:BAJAJCON

Bajaj Consumer Care

Manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells hair care, cosmetics, toiletries, and other personal care products in India and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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