Stock Analysis

The Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited (NSE:APOLLOHOSP) First-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

NSEI:APOLLOHOSP
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It's shaping up to be a tough period for Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited (NSE:APOLLOHOSP), which a week ago released some disappointing quarterly results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. Results look to have been somewhat negative - revenue fell 3.8% short of analyst estimates at ₹51b, and statutory earnings of ₹21.23 per share missed forecasts by 4.6%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for Apollo Hospitals Enterprise

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NSEI:APOLLOHOSP Earnings and Revenue Growth August 16th 2024

Following the latest results, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise's 26 analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹221.8b in 2025. This would be a meaningful 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 44% to ₹104. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹222.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹103 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of ₹6,989, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Apollo Hospitals Enterprise, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹7,670 and the most bearish at ₹5,040 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 17% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 15% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 17% per year. It's clear that while Apollo Hospitals Enterprise's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Apollo Hospitals Enterprise analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Apollo Hospitals Enterprise that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.