Stock Analysis

Does Umang Dairies (NSE:UMANGDAIRY) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:UMANGDAIRY
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Umang Dairies Limited (NSE:UMANGDAIRY) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Umang Dairies

What Is Umang Dairies's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Umang Dairies had ₹542.4m in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹26.1m, its net debt is less, at about ₹516.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:UMANGDAIRY Debt to Equity History July 21st 2023

A Look At Umang Dairies' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Umang Dairies had liabilities of ₹866.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹346.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹26.1m as well as receivables valued at ₹59.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.13b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹1.55b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Umang Dairies shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.082 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Umang Dairies is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₹4.0m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Umang Dairies's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Umang Dairies actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Neither Umang Dairies's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Umang Dairies is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Umang Dairies (including 2 which can't be ignored) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.