Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, ITC Limited (NSE:ITC) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for ITC
What Is ITC's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ITC had debt of ₹2.50b at the end of March 2022, a reduction from ₹2.71b over a year. But it also has ₹182.0b in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₹179.5b net cash.
How Strong Is ITC's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that ITC had liabilities of ₹121.6b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹22.7b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹182.0b in cash and ₹36.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹74.4b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This state of affairs indicates that ITC's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹4.16t company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, ITC boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Also positive, ITC grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ITC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. ITC may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, ITC recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that ITC has net cash of ₹179.5b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 21% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think ITC's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for ITC that you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ITC
ITC
Engages in the fast-moving consumer goods, hotels, paperboards and paper and packaging, agri, and information technology businesses in India and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.