Stock Analysis

Aegis Logistics Limited (NSE:AEGISCHEM) Beat Earnings, And Analysts Have Been Reviewing Their Forecasts

NSEI:AEGISLOG
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Aegis Logistics Limited (NSE:AEGISCHEM) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 6.6% to hit ₹19b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at ₹3.71, some 6.7% above whatthe analysts had expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Aegis Logistics

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NSEI:AEGISCHEM Earnings and Revenue Growth February 6th 2024

Following the latest results, Aegis Logistics' four analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹89.7b in 2025. This would be a huge 22% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 13% to ₹16.56. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹89.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹16.15 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target was unchanged at ₹407, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Aegis Logistics, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹480 and the most bearish at ₹300 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Aegis Logistics' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 17% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 6.4% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.9% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Aegis Logistics is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Aegis Logistics' earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Aegis Logistics analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Aegis Logistics that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.