Stock Analysis

Housing and Urban Development (NSE:HUDCO) Will Pay A Dividend Of ₹1.50

NSEI:HUDCO
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Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited (NSE:HUDCO) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ₹1.50 per share on the 19th of April. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 2.1%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Housing and Urban Development's stock price has increased by 73% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Housing and Urban Development

Housing and Urban Development's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Housing and Urban Development's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 11.7% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 47% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
NSEI:HUDCO Historic Dividend March 23rd 2024

Housing and Urban Development's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ₹0.05 in 2017 to the most recent total annual payment of ₹3.85. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 86% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Housing and Urban Development has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 12% per annum. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Housing and Urban Development's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Housing and Urban Development you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.