Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Asian Hotels (North) Limited (NSE:ASIANHOTNR) Shares 46% But It Can Do More

NSEI:ASIANHOTNR
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The Asian Hotels (North) Limited (NSE:ASIANHOTNR) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 46%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 32% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Asian Hotels (North) may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 4.9x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Asian Hotels (North)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ASIANHOTNR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 27th 2024

What Does Asian Hotels (North)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Asian Hotels (North) over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Asian Hotels (North) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Asian Hotels (North)'s to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Asian Hotels (North) is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Asian Hotels (North)'s P/S

Even after such a strong price move, Asian Hotels (North)'s P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We're very surprised to see Asian Hotels (North) currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Asian Hotels (North) (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.