Stock Analysis

Asian Hotels (North) Limited's (NSE:ASIANHOTNR) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

NSEI:ASIANHOTNR
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Asian Hotels (North) Limited (NSE:ASIANHOTNR) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 94% in the last year.

Following the heavy fall in price, Asian Hotels (North) may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 4.8x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Asian Hotels (North)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ASIANHOTNR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 9th 2024

What Does Asian Hotels (North)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Asian Hotels (North) has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Asian Hotels (North), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Asian Hotels (North)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 43% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 87% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Asian Hotels (North)'s P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Asian Hotels (North)'s share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Asian Hotels (North) confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Asian Hotels (North) (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.