Stock Analysis

Is Osia Hyper Retail (NSE:OSIAHYPER) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:OSIAHYPER
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Osia Hyper Retail Limited (NSE:OSIAHYPER) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Osia Hyper Retail

What Is Osia Hyper Retail's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Osia Hyper Retail had ₹1.01b of debt, up from ₹517.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹189.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹817.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:OSIAHYPER Debt to Equity History July 28th 2022

How Healthy Is Osia Hyper Retail's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Osia Hyper Retail had liabilities of ₹1.92b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.17b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹189.2m as well as receivables valued at ₹598.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹2.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹2.07b, we think shareholders really should watch Osia Hyper Retail's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about Osia Hyper Retail's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.5 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The good news is that Osia Hyper Retail grew its EBIT a smooth 81% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Osia Hyper Retail will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Osia Hyper Retail saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Osia Hyper Retail's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Osia Hyper Retail's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Osia Hyper Retail has 4 warning signs (and 3 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.