A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From S.P. Apparels Limited's (NSE:SPAL) 28% Share Price Climb
Those holding S.P. Apparels Limited (NSE:SPAL) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 39% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 26x, you may still consider S.P. Apparels as an attractive investment with its 22.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
S.P. Apparels could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for S.P. Apparels
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as S.P. Apparels' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 36% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 22% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that S.P. Apparels' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On S.P. Apparels' P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift S.P. Apparels' P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that S.P. Apparels currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with S.P. Apparels, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SPAL
S.P. Apparels
Engages in manufacturing and exporting of knitted garments for infants and children in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.
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