Stock Analysis

We Think Ruby Mills (NSE:RUBYMILLS) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:RUBYMILLS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that The Ruby Mills Limited (NSE:RUBYMILLS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Ruby Mills

What Is Ruby Mills's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ruby Mills had debt of ₹2.76b at the end of March 2022, a reduction from ₹3.94b over a year. On the flip side, it has ₹99.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹2.66b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:RUBYMILLS Debt to Equity History June 21st 2022

A Look At Ruby Mills' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ruby Mills had liabilities of ₹1.92b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.45b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹99.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹204.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹4.06b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹5.73b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ruby Mills' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Ruby Mills has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.7 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Ruby Mills grew its EBIT by 52% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ruby Mills will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Ruby Mills actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Both Ruby Mills's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its net debt to EBITDA had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Ruby Mills is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Ruby Mills has 5 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.