Gokaldas Exports Limited Just Missed EPS By 9.5%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Shareholders might have noticed that Gokaldas Exports Limited (NSE:GOKEX) filed its yearly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.5% to ₹928 in the past week. Revenues of ₹39b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at ₹21.45, missing estimates by 9.5%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Gokaldas Exports' five analysts is for revenues of ₹43.6b in 2026. This would reflect a meaningful 11% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 56% to ₹33.87. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹45.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹39.00 in 2026. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a substantial drop in earnings per share numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Gokaldas Exports

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of ₹1,221, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Gokaldas Exports' valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Gokaldas Exports at ₹1,390 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹1,140. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Gokaldas Exports is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Gokaldas Exports' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 11% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 23% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 12% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Gokaldas Exports is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Gokaldas Exports. They also downgraded their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Gokaldas Exports analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It might also be worth considering whether Gokaldas Exports' debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.