Stock Analysis

Here's Why Celebrity Fashions (NSE:CELEBRITY) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:CELEBRITY
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Celebrity Fashions Limited (NSE:CELEBRITY) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Celebrity Fashions

What Is Celebrity Fashions's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Celebrity Fashions had ₹678.3m of debt in March 2020, down from ₹914.0m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹33.3m, its net debt is less, at about ₹645.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CELEBRITY Debt to Equity History July 31st 2020

How Healthy Is Celebrity Fashions's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Celebrity Fashions had liabilities of ₹967.8m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹386.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹33.3m as well as receivables valued at ₹297.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹1.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹214.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Celebrity Fashions would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Celebrity Fashions's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.6, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Fortunately, Celebrity Fashions grew its EBIT by 7.9% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Celebrity Fashions will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Celebrity Fashions actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On the face of it, Celebrity Fashions's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Celebrity Fashions stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Celebrity Fashions you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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