What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of Timken India (NSE:TIMKEN) we really liked what we saw.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Timken India, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.22 = ₹4.7b ÷ (₹26b - ₹4.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Thus, Timken India has an ROCE of 22%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 15% earned by companies in a similar industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Timken India
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Timken India compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Timken India
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Machinery industry.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Machinery market.
- Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
- Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
How Are Returns Trending?
The trends we've noticed at Timken India are quite reassuring. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 22%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 189% more capital is being employed now too. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.
What We Can Learn From Timken India's ROCE
To sum it up, Timken India has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. And a remarkable 381% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.
Before jumping to any conclusions though, we need to know what value we're getting for the current share price. That's where you can check out our FREE intrinsic value estimation that compares the share price and estimated value.
If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Timken India might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TIMKEN
Timken India
Manufactures and distributes tapered roller bearings, other roller bearings, components, and accessories for the automotive sector and railway industry in India, the United States, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.