Timken India Limited

NSEI:TIMKEN Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹226.6b

Timken India Valuation

Is TIMKEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TIMKEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TIMKEN (₹3011.55) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹764.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TIMKEN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TIMKEN?

Key metric: As TIMKEN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TIMKEN. This is calculated by dividing TIMKEN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TIMKEN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio57.3x
Earnings₹3.95b
Market Cap₹226.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TIMKEN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TIMKEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average61.1x
500472 SKF India
39.7x14.0%₹222.5b
506076 Grindwell Norton
57.4x14.7%₹214.6b
91.9x20.4%₹183.9b
ELGIEQUIP Elgi Equipments
55.6x15.3%₹182.3b
TIMKEN Timken India
57.3x20.7%₹226.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TIMKEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.3x) compared to the peer average (61.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TIMKEN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EMKAYTOOLS Emkay Taps and Cutting Tools
5xn/aUS$55.70m
DIL Debock Industries
4.8xn/aUS$5.94m
531911 Galaxy Agrico Exports
4.6xn/aUS$1.42m
No more companies available in this PE range
TIMKEN 57.3xIndustry Avg. 38.9xNo. of Companies21PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TIMKEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.3x) compared to the Indian Machinery industry average (38.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TIMKEN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TIMKEN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio57.3x
Fair PE Ratio40.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TIMKEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TIMKEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹3,011.55
₹3,884.88
+29.0%
6.1%₹4,250.00₹3,550.00n/a8
Dec ’25₹3,378.40
₹3,884.88
+15.0%
6.1%₹4,250.00₹3,550.00n/a8
Nov ’25₹3,422.25
₹4,204.38
+22.9%
4.8%₹4,500.00₹3,950.00n/a8
Oct ’25₹3,796.35
₹4,204.38
+10.7%
4.8%₹4,500.00₹3,950.00n/a8
Sep ’25₹3,846.35
₹4,204.38
+9.3%
4.8%₹4,500.00₹3,950.00n/a8
Aug ’25₹4,325.65
₹3,783.25
-12.5%
7.8%₹4,388.00₹3,421.00n/a8
Jul ’25₹4,320.60
₹3,567.88
-17.4%
10.9%₹3,950.00₹2,665.00n/a8
Jun ’25₹3,953.50
₹3,567.88
-9.8%
10.9%₹3,950.00₹2,665.00n/a8
May ’25₹3,340.45
₹3,187.14
-4.6%
12.3%₹3,950.00₹2,800.00n/a7
Apr ’25₹2,914.60
₹2,954.83
+1.4%
13.1%₹3,600.00₹2,297.00n/a6
Mar ’25₹2,708.75
₹2,785.80
+2.8%
10.7%₹3,068.00₹2,297.00n/a5
Feb ’25₹3,331.95
₹3,016.00
-9.5%
21.0%₹4,085.00₹2,297.00n/a5
Jan ’25₹3,232.00
₹3,016.00
-6.7%
21.0%₹4,085.00₹2,297.00₹3,040.505
Dec ’24₹2,952.95
₹3,202.86
+8.5%
19.1%₹4,085.00₹2,297.00₹3,378.407
Nov ’24₹2,885.70
₹3,332.43
+15.5%
20.2%₹4,160.00₹2,222.00₹3,422.257
Oct ’24₹3,095.50
₹3,517.50
+13.6%
15.3%₹4,160.00₹2,500.00₹3,796.356
Sep ’24₹3,197.85
₹3,517.50
+10.0%
15.3%₹4,160.00₹2,500.00₹3,846.356
Aug ’24₹3,534.75
₹3,506.67
-0.8%
14.8%₹4,160.00₹2,500.00₹4,325.656
Jul ’24₹3,423.55
₹3,506.67
+2.4%
14.8%₹4,160.00₹2,500.00₹4,320.606
Jun ’24₹3,326.80
₹3,376.00
+1.5%
13.9%₹3,750.00₹2,500.00₹3,953.505
May ’24₹2,983.35
₹3,309.00
+10.9%
14.6%₹3,750.00₹2,400.00₹3,340.455
Apr ’24₹2,755.45
₹3,309.20
+20.1%
14.6%₹3,750.00₹2,400.00₹2,914.605
Mar ’24₹2,932.15
₹3,309.20
+12.9%
14.6%₹3,750.00₹2,400.00₹2,708.755
Feb ’24₹3,201.25
₹3,233.50
+1.0%
19.2%₹3,750.00₹2,320.00₹3,331.956
Jan ’24₹3,103.85
₹3,233.50
+4.2%
19.2%₹3,750.00₹2,320.00₹3,232.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 02:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Timken India Limited is covered by 18 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullAsian Markets Securities Private Limited
Vijayaraghavan SwaminathanAvendus Spark
Mukesh SarafAvendus Spark