Subdued Growth No Barrier To Schaeffler India Limited (NSE:SCHAEFFLER) With Shares Advancing 30%
Schaeffler India Limited (NSE:SCHAEFFLER) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.2% isn't as attractive.
Following the firm bounce in price, Schaeffler India may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.6x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 26x and even P/E's lower than 15x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Schaeffler India has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Schaeffler India
How Is Schaeffler India's Growth Trending?
Schaeffler India's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 7.7% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 39% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 17% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Schaeffler India's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Schaeffler India's P/E
The strong share price surge has got Schaeffler India's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Schaeffler India currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Schaeffler India that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SCHAEFFLER
Schaeffler India
Engages in the development, manufacture, and distribution of high-precision roller and ball bearings, and related components worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.
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