Stock Analysis

The five-year decline in earnings for Patel Engineering NSE:PATELENG) isn't encouraging, but shareholders are still up 597% over that period

NSEI:PATELENG
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It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Patel Engineering Limited (NSE:PATELENG) share price down 23% in the last month. But that does not change the realty that the stock's performance has been terrific, over five years. In that time, the share price has soared some 382% higher! Arguably, the recent fall is to be expected after such a strong rise. The most important thing for savvy investors to consider is whether the underlying business can justify the share price gain.

In light of the stock dropping 11% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

See our latest analysis for Patel Engineering

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the five years of share price growth, Patel Engineering moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:PATELENG Earnings Per Share Growth August 7th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Patel Engineering has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Patel Engineering stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Patel Engineering's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Patel Engineering's TSR of 597% over the last 5 years is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Patel Engineering provided a TSR of 6.6% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 47% per year for five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Patel Engineering you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.