Have Investors Priced In KEC International Limited's (NSE:KEC) Growth?

Simply Wall St

KEC International Limited (NSE:KEC), a construction company based in India, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the NSEI, rising to the highs of ₹439.45 and falling to the lows of ₹316.75. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether KEC International's current trading price of ₹333.15 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at KEC International’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. See our latest analysis for KEC International

What's the opportunity in KEC International?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 55.91%, trading at ₹333 compared to my intrinsic value of ₹213.68. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. Furthermore, KEC International’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

What does the future of KEC International look like?

NSEI:KEC Future Profit July 5th 18
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 84.77% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for KEC International. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? KEC’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe KEC should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on KEC for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for KEC, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on KEC International. You can find everything you need to know about KEC International in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in KEC International, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.