Stock Analysis

Inox Green Energy Services Limited's (NSE:INOXGREEN) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

NSEI:INOXGREEN
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Despite an already strong run, Inox Green Energy Services Limited (NSE:INOXGREEN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 203% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in India's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider Inox Green Energy Services as a stock not worth researching with its 22.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Inox Green Energy Services

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:INOXGREEN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 22nd 2024

How Inox Green Energy Services Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Inox Green Energy Services over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Inox Green Energy Services, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Inox Green Energy Services' Revenue Growth Trending?

Inox Green Energy Services' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 30% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 14% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Inox Green Energy Services' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Inox Green Energy Services' P/S Mean For Investors?

Inox Green Energy Services' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Inox Green Energy Services currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Inox Green Energy Services with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.