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GE Power India Limited (NSE:GEPIL) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 25% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
GE Power India Limited (NSE:GEPIL) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 24%.
Following the heavy fall in price, GE Power India's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Construction industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for GE Power India
What Does GE Power India's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, GE Power India's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on GE Power India will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like GE Power India's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.5% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 52% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that GE Power India's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does GE Power India's P/S Mean For Investors?
GE Power India's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Construction companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It's no surprise that GE Power India maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with GE Power India, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GEPIL
GE Power India
Engages in the engineering, procurement, manufacturing, construction, maintenance, and servicing of power plants and power equipment in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.