Stock Analysis

Creative Graphics Solutions India's (NSE:CGRAPHICS) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

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NSEI:CGRAPHICS

Creative Graphics Solutions India Limited's (NSE:CGRAPHICS) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Creative Graphics Solutions India

NSEI:CGRAPHICS Earnings and Revenue History November 16th 2024

Zooming In On Creative Graphics Solutions India's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to September 2024, Creative Graphics Solutions India had an accrual ratio of 0.76. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of ₹127.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₹706m in the last year. We also note that Creative Graphics Solutions India's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹706m.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Creative Graphics Solutions India.

Our Take On Creative Graphics Solutions India's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Creative Graphics Solutions India's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Creative Graphics Solutions India's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Be aware that Creative Graphics Solutions India is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Creative Graphics Solutions India's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.