Stock Analysis

Carysil Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

NSEI:CARYSIL
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It's been a good week for Carysil Limited (NSE:CARYSIL) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 7.0% to ₹927. Statutory earnings per share of ₹5.71 unfortunately missed expectations by 18%, although it was encouraging to see revenues of ₹1.9b exceed expectations by 4.1%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Carysil after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Carysil

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:CARYSIL Earnings and Revenue Growth February 3rd 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Carysil from four analysts is for revenues of ₹8.88b in 2025. If met, it would imply a huge 39% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 80% to ₹36.75. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹8.92b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹36.28 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

With the analysts reconfirming their revenue and earnings forecasts, it's surprising to see that the price target rose 14% to ₹947. It looks as though they previously had some doubts over whether the business would live up to their expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Carysil analyst has a price target of ₹1,090 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹776. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Carysil's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 30% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 23% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 17% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Carysil is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Carysil. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Carysil going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Even so, be aware that Carysil is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.