Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Balu Forge Industries Limited (NSE:BALUFORGE)?

NSEI:BALUFORGE
Source: Shutterstock

With its stock down 44% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Balu Forge Industries (NSE:BALUFORGE). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Balu Forge Industries' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Balu Forge Industries

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Balu Forge Industries is:

19% = ₹1.7b ÷ ₹9.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.19 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Balu Forge Industries' Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

At first glance, Balu Forge Industries seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 15%. Probably as a result of this, Balu Forge Industries was able to see an impressive net income growth of 63% over the last five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Balu Forge Industries' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 26% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:BALUFORGE Past Earnings Growth March 15th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Balu Forge Industries fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Balu Forge Industries Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Balu Forge Industries' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 1.5% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (98%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Besides, Balu Forge Industries has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Balu Forge Industries' performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Balu Forge Industries visit our risks dashboard for free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Balu Forge Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.