Union Bank of India (NSE:UNIONBANK) delivers shareholders strong 36% CAGR over 3 years, surging 3.9% in the last week alone
It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For instance the Union Bank of India (NSE:UNIONBANK) share price is 140% higher than it was three years ago. Most would be happy with that. And in the last week the share price has popped 3.9%.
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
View our latest analysis for Union Bank of India
SWOT Analysis for Union Bank of India
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Debt is well covered by earnings.
- Dividends are currently covered by earnings and forecast to be covered by earnings in 3 years.
- Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
- Earnings growth over the past year is below its 5-year average.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
- Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Union Bank of India became profitable within the last three years. Given the importance of this milestone, it's not overly surprising that the share price has increased strongly.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It is of course excellent to see how Union Bank of India has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Union Bank of India stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Union Bank of India, it has a TSR of 153% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Union Bank of India shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 99% over one year. That's including the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 4% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Union Bank of India better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Union Bank of India is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:UNIONBANK
Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.
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