IDFC First Bank (NSE:IDFCFIRSTB) shareholders have earned a 13% CAGR over the last five years
The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But IDFC First Bank Limited (NSE:IDFCFIRSTB) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 86% over five years, which is below the market return. Some buyers are laughing, though, with an increase of 25% in the last year.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
See our latest analysis for IDFC First Bank
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the last half decade, IDFC First Bank became profitable. That's generally thought to be a genuine positive, so investors may expect to see an increasing share price. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. Indeed, the IDFC First Bank share price has gained 45% in three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 68% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 13% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We know that IDFC First Bank has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
A Different Perspective
IDFC First Bank shareholders are up 25% for the year. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 13% per year over five year. It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand IDFC First Bank better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for IDFC First Bank you should know about.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:IDFCFIRSTB
IDFC First Bank
Engages in the provision of various banking and financial services to corporates, individuals, multi-national companies, SMEs/entrepreneurs, financial institutions, and the government in India.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.
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