Stock Analysis

Institutional investors may overlook ICICI Bank Limited's (NSE:ICICIBANK) recent ₹300b market cap drop as long-term gains remain positive

NSEI:ICICIBANK
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Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies ICICI Bank's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • A total of 24 investors have a majority stake in the company with 50% ownership
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

A look at the shareholders of ICICI Bank Limited (NSE:ICICIBANK) can tell us which group is most powerful. With 75% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Losing money on investments is something no shareholder enjoys, least of all institutional investors who saw their holdings value drop by 3.3% last week. Still, the 28% one-year gains may have helped mitigate their overall losses. They should, however, be mindful of further losses in the future.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of ICICI Bank.

View our latest analysis for ICICI Bank

ownership-breakdown
NSEI:ICICIBANK Ownership Breakdown January 6th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About ICICI Bank?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

ICICI Bank already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of ICICI Bank, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:ICICIBANK Earnings and Revenue Growth January 6th 2025

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. ICICI Bank is not owned by hedge funds. Our data shows that Life Insurance Corporation of India, Asset Management Arm is the largest shareholder with 6.0% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 5.2% and 3.5%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 24 shareholders have a combined ownership of 50% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of ICICI Bank

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that ICICI Bank Limited insiders own under 1% of the company. It is a very large company, so it would be surprising to see insiders own a large proportion of the company. Though their holding amounts to less than 1%, we can see that board members collectively own ₹3.8b worth of shares (at current prices). It is good to see board members owning shares, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 25% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for ICICI Bank that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.