Stock Analysis

Is TVS Srichakra (NSE:TVSSRICHAK) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that TVS Srichakra Limited (NSE:TVSSRICHAK) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for TVS Srichakra

What Is TVS Srichakra's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 TVS Srichakra had debt of ₹8.35b, up from ₹6.62b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹186.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹8.16b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TVSSRICHAK Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024

How Strong Is TVS Srichakra's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that TVS Srichakra had liabilities of ₹10.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹5.46b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹186.1m and ₹2.83b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹12.8b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since TVS Srichakra has a market capitalization of ₹28.8b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

TVS Srichakra's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.3 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that TVS Srichakra grew its EBIT a smooth 34% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if TVS Srichakra can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, TVS Srichakra burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Neither TVS Srichakra's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that TVS Srichakra is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - TVS Srichakra has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:TVSSRICHAK

TVS Srichakra

Manufactures and sells two-wheeler, three-wheeler, and other industrial tires to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and replacement markets in India and internationally.

Moderate growth potential second-rate dividend payer.

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