Stock Analysis

Is TVS Holdings (NSE:TVSHLTD) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

NSEI:TVSHLTD
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, TVS Holdings Limited (NSE:TVSHLTD) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for TVS Holdings

How Much Debt Does TVS Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 TVS Holdings had debt of ₹269.6b, up from ₹257.9b in one year. However, it does have ₹34.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹234.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TVSHLTD Debt to Equity History September 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is TVS Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that TVS Holdings had liabilities of ₹135.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹241.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹34.8b and ₹27.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹315.0b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹282.7b, we think shareholders really should watch TVS Holdings's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since TVS Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year TVS Holdings's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, TVS Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹4.3b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of ₹20b over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for TVS Holdings (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TVS Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.