Stock Analysis

Shigan Quantum Technologies Limited's (NSE:SHIGAN) 31% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

NSEI:SHIGAN
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Shigan Quantum Technologies Limited (NSE:SHIGAN) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 31% share price jump in the last month. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may consider Shigan Quantum Technologies as a stock to potentially avoid with its 50.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

The earnings growth achieved at Shigan Quantum Technologies over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Shigan Quantum Technologies

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SHIGAN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 11th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shigan Quantum Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Shigan Quantum Technologies' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 9.4% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shigan Quantum Technologies' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shigan Quantum Technologies' P/E

Shigan Quantum Technologies' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Shigan Quantum Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Shigan Quantum Technologies (3 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Shigan Quantum Technologies. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.