Stock Analysis

Hero MotoCorp (NSE:HEROMOTOCO) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ₹100.00

NSEI:HEROMOTOCO
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Hero MotoCorp Limited's (NSE:HEROMOTOCO) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ₹100.00 on 9th of March. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 2.1%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Hero MotoCorp's stock price has increased by 47% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Hero MotoCorp

Hero MotoCorp's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Hero MotoCorp was earning enough to cover the previous dividend, but it was paying out quite a large proportion of its free cash flows. The company is clearly earning enough to pay this type of dividend, but it is definitely focused on returning cash to shareholders, rather than growing the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 57.1%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 50%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NSEI:HEROMOTOCO Historic Dividend February 15th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ₹60.00 total annually to ₹100.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.2% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Hero MotoCorp might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Hero MotoCorp hasn't seen much change in its earnings per share over the last five years. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 1.0% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While Hero MotoCorp is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hero MotoCorp that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.