Gabriel India Limited (NSE:GABRIEL) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 13th of September to ₹2.50. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 0.8%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Gabriel India's stock price has increased by 40% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
View our latest analysis for Gabriel India
Gabriel India's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Gabriel India's dividend was only 32% of earnings, however it was paying out 416% of free cash flows. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 83.0% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 20% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ₹0.80 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹4.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 17% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Gabriel India has been growing its earnings per share at 13% a year over the past five years. Gabriel India definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Gabriel India's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Gabriel India (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Gabriel India not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:GABRIEL
Gabriel India
Manufactures and sells of ride control products to the automotive industry in India, the Netherlands, and internationally.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.