Stock Analysis

We Think Exide Industries (NSE:EXIDEIND) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:EXIDEIND
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Exide Industries Limited (NSE:EXIDEIND) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Exide Industries

How Much Debt Does Exide Industries Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Exide Industries had debt of ₹6.97b, up from ₹2.79b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹5.89b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.08b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:EXIDEIND Debt to Equity History June 8th 2024

How Healthy Is Exide Industries' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Exide Industries had liabilities of ₹44.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹8.01b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹5.89b and ₹13.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹32.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Exide Industries has a market capitalization of ₹448.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Exide Industries has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Exide Industries has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.059 and EBIT of 10.8 times the interest expense. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. And we also note warmly that Exide Industries grew its EBIT by 16% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Exide Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Exide Industries burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Exide Industries is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its net debt to EBITDA. Considering this range of data points, we think Exide Industries is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Exide Industries that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.