Stock Analysis

Bharat Forge (NSE:BHARATFORG) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ₹6.50

NSEI:BHARATFORG
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Bharat Forge Limited (NSE:BHARATFORG) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 8th of September to ₹6.50. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 0.5%.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Bharat Forge's stock price has increased by 44% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Bharat Forge

Bharat Forge's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, Bharat Forge's dividend was only 44% of earnings, however it was paying out 299% of free cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 158.6%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 19% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

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NSEI:BHARATFORG Historic Dividend July 4th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ₹2.20 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ₹9.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Bharat Forge hasn't seen much change in its earnings per share over the last five years.

Bharat Forge's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Bharat Forge will make a great income stock. While Bharat Forge is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Bharat Forge that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bharat Forge is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com