The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Israel Canada (T.R) Ltd (TLV:ISCN) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Israel Canada (T.R)
What Is Israel Canada (T.R)'s Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Israel Canada (T.R) had ₪4.99b of debt, up from ₪3.56b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₪1.11b in cash leading to net debt of about ₪3.88b.
A Look At Israel Canada (T.R)'s Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Israel Canada (T.R) had liabilities of ₪2.23b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪3.92b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪1.11b as well as receivables valued at ₪251.8m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₪4.79b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪2.11b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Israel Canada (T.R) would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Israel Canada (T.R) has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.9 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 4.5 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Pleasingly, Israel Canada (T.R) is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 313% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Israel Canada (T.R) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Israel Canada (T.R) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Israel Canada (T.R)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Israel Canada (T.R) to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Israel Canada (T.R) (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ISCN
Israel Canada (T.R)
Pangaea Real-Estate Ltd. is a principal investment firm specializing in investments in real estate.
Slight with imperfect balance sheet.