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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Israel Canada (T.R) Ltd (TLV:ISCN) With Shares Advancing 29%
Israel Canada (T.R) Ltd (TLV:ISCN) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, Israel Canada (T.R)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Israel, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 15x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Israel Canada (T.R) has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Israel Canada (T.R)
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Israel Canada (T.R)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 82% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Israel Canada (T.R) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Israel Canada (T.R)'s P/E
Shares in Israel Canada (T.R) have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Israel Canada (T.R) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Israel Canada (T.R) (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Israel Canada (T.R). If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ISCN
Israel Canada (T.R)
Pangaea Real-Estate Ltd. is a principal investment firm specializing in investments in real estate.
Slight risk with acceptable track record.
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