The Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (TLV:BRND) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 20%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Brand Group (M.G)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Israel, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Brand Group (M.G)
How Has Brand Group (M.G) Performed Recently?
Brand Group (M.G) certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Brand Group (M.G) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Brand Group (M.G)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 131% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 143% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's curious that Brand Group (M.G)'s P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Brand Group (M.G)'s P/S
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Brand Group (M.G) looks to be in line with the rest of the Construction industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Brand Group (M.G) currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Brand Group (M.G) (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Brand Group (M.G) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.