Stock Analysis

Do AIB Group's (ISE:A5G) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

ISE:A5G
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like AIB Group (ISE:A5G). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

See our latest analysis for AIB Group

How Fast Is AIB Group Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Even with very modest growth rates, a company will usually do well if it improves earnings per share (EPS) year after year. So it's easy to see why many investors focus in on EPS growth. It's an outstanding feat for AIB Group to have grown EPS from €0.058 to €0.29 in just one year. When you see earnings grow that quickly, it often means good things ahead for the company. But the key is discerning whether something profound has changed, or if this is a just a one-off boost.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. Our analysis has highlighted that AIB Group's revenue from operations did not account for all of their revenue in the previous 12 months, so our analysis of its margins might not accurately reflect the underlying business. While we note AIB Group achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 33% to €3.0b. That's encouraging news for the company!

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ISE:A5G Earnings and Revenue History January 2nd 2023

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of AIB Group's forecast profits?

Are AIB Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Not only did AIB Group insiders refrain from selling stock during the year, but they also spent €126k buying it. That paints the company in a nice light, as it signals that its leaders are feeling confident in where the company is heading. It is also worth noting that it was Independent Non-Executive Chairman James Pettigrew who made the biggest single purchase, worth €76k, paying €3.05 per share.

Recent insider purchases of AIB Group stock is not the only way management has kept the interests of the general public shareholders in mind. To be specific, the CEO is paid modestly when compared to company peers of the same size. For companies with market capitalisations over €7.5b, like AIB Group, the median CEO pay is around €3.3m.

The AIB Group CEO received total compensation of just €600k in the year to December 2021. First impressions seem to indicate a compensation policy that is favourable to shareholders. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when it's reasonable, that gives a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Is AIB Group Worth Keeping An Eye On?

AIB Group's earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. The company can also boast of insider buying, and reasonable remuneration for the CEO. The strong EPS growth suggests AIB Group may be at an inflection point. If so, then its potential for further gains probably merit a spot on your watchlist. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for AIB Group that you should be aware of.

The good news is that AIB Group is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ISE:A5G

AIB Group

Provides banking and financial products and services to retail, business, and corporate customers in the Republic of Ireland and the United Kingdom.

Undervalued with solid track record.

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