AIB Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

AIB Group's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 4.8% and 13.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 4.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13% in 3 years.

Key information

-13.7%

Earnings growth rate

-4.9%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	0.04%
Revenue growth rate	-4.8%
Future return on equity	13.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	11 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Are Updating Their AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) Estimates After Its Interim Results

Aug 07

Recent updates

Should You Be Adding AIB Group (ISE:A5G) To Your Watchlist Today?

Oct 16

Analysts Are Updating Their AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) Estimates After Its Interim Results

Aug 07

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ISE:A5G - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	4,271	1,518	N/A	N/A	10
12/31/2025	4,321	1,505	N/A	N/A	10
12/31/2024	4,801	1,921	N/A	N/A	10
6/30/2024	4,820	2,249	-1,759	-1,516	N/A
3/31/2024	4,672	2,123	-3,182	-2,945	N/A
12/31/2023	4,524	1,996	-4,606	-4,374	N/A
9/30/2023	3,961	1,538	-5,806	-5,583	N/A
6/30/2023	3,397	1,080	-7,006	-6,792	N/A
3/31/2023	3,152	891	-5,926	-5,716	N/A
12/31/2022	2,906	702	-4,846	-4,640	N/A
9/30/2022	2,931	744	-3,113	-2,902	N/A
6/30/2022	2,955	785	-1,381	-1,164	N/A
3/31/2022	2,785	684	-1,727	-1,501	N/A
12/31/2021	2,614	582	-2,073	-1,838	N/A
9/30/2021	2,415	370	-1,399	-1,157	N/A
6/30/2021	2,216	158	-725	-477	N/A
3/31/2021	1,565	-328	400	653	N/A
12/31/2020	913	-815	1,525	1,782	N/A
9/30/2020	1,075	-781	1,585	1,868	N/A
6/30/2020	1,237	-747	1,644	1,953	N/A
3/31/2020	1,949	-210	964	1,283	N/A
12/31/2019	2,660	327	284	612	N/A
9/30/2019	2,725	547	-531	-214	N/A
6/30/2019	2,790	766	-1,346	-1,041	N/A
3/31/2019	2,924	911	-914	-618	N/A
12/31/2018	3,058	1,055	-483	-195	N/A
9/30/2018	3,136	1,065	229	522	N/A
6/30/2018	3,214	1,075	941	1,239	N/A
3/31/2018	3,164	1,076	N/A	1,081	N/A
1/1/2018	3,114	1,077	N/A	922	N/A
10/1/2017	3,090	1,113	N/A	1,266	N/A
6/30/2017	3,066	1,148	N/A	1,610	N/A
3/31/2017	3,170	1,234	N/A	4,535	N/A
12/31/2016	3,274	1,319	N/A	7,460	N/A
9/30/2016	3,340	1,249	N/A	8,217	N/A
6/30/2016	3,406	1,179	N/A	8,973	N/A
3/31/2016	3,477	1,057	N/A	6,673	N/A
12/31/2015	3,548	934	N/A	4,373	N/A
9/30/2015	3,596	999	N/A	4,756	N/A
6/30/2015	3,643	1,064	N/A	5,139	N/A
3/31/2015	3,287	973	N/A	6,960	N/A
12/31/2014	2,931	881	N/A	8,781	N/A
9/30/2014	1,979	210	N/A	8,988	N/A
6/30/2014	1,027	-462	N/A	9,195	N/A
3/31/2014	422	-1,029	N/A	7,495	N/A
12/31/2013	-184	-1,597	N/A	5,795	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: A5G's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.7% per year).

Earnings vs Market: A5G's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: A5G's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: A5G's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-4.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: A5G's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.8% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: A5G's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/30 08:54
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AIB Group plc is covered by 31 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
David Grinsztajn	AlphaValue
Thomas Andrew Rayner	Barclays
Grace Dargan	Barclays

AIB Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Analysts Are Updating Their AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) Estimates After Its Interim Results

Price target increased by 7.2% to €5.69

AIB Group plc Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 23%, EPS upgraded

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Recent updates

New minor risk - Share price stability

Should You Be Adding AIB Group (ISE:A5G) To Your Watchlist Today?

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Analysts Are Updating Their AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) Estimates After Its Interim Results

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: €0.42 (vs €0.31 in 1H 2023)

New minor risk - Share price stability

Allied Irish Banks Announces Executive Appointments

Price target increased by 7.2% to €5.69

Upcoming dividend of €0.27 per share

Dividend increased to €0.27

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) announces an Equity Buyback for €1,000 million worth of its shares.

New minor risk - Share price stability

AIB Group plc to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 06, 2024

AIB Group plc to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 01, 2023

AIB Announces Executive Changes

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.31 (vs €0.17 in 1H 2022)

Panelview Designated Activity Company acquired Mortgage Loans in the Portfolio from AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G).

AIB Group plc Approves Final Dividend for the Year 2022, Payable on 12 May 2023

AIB Group plc Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

Upcoming dividend of €0.062 per share at 1.6% yield

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 23%, EPS upgraded

AIB Group plc to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Mar 08, 2023

Now 21% undervalued

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought €76k worth of stock

An unknown buyer acquired 5% stake in AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) from Ireland Strategic Investment Fund.

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

First half 2022 earnings released

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

AIB Group plc Announces Board Changes

Everyday Finance Limited, Lcm Partners Limited and affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. entered into a agreement to acquire Non-performing loan portfolio in long-term default of AIB Group plc from AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) for approximately €400 million.

AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) agreed to acquire Irish tracker mortgage portfolio of NatWest Group from NatWest Group plc (LSE:NWG) for €5.4 billion.

AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) announces an Equity Buyback for €91 million worth of its shares.

AIB Group plc, Annual General Meeting, May 05, 2022

Upcoming dividend of €0.045 per share

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

AIB Group plc Proposes Dividend

Carolan Lennon Informs to Resign as A Director, and as Senior Independent Director of AIB Group plc and Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c, on 30 June 2022

AIB Group plc to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Mar 03, 2022

AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) agreed to acquire a 50% stake in Autolease Fleet Management Limited for €6 million.

AIB Reportedly Plans Property Loans Sale

AIB Reportedly Lining Up Problem Mortgages Sale

AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) completed the acquisition of Goodbody Stockbrokers UC.

Four Bidders Reportedly in Race to Buy AIB's British SME Loan Book

AIB Reportedly in Talks to Buy Ulster Bank's €6.5 Billion Tracker Loans

AIB to Shut More Than Half of Branches in Northern Ireland

Price target increased to €2.58

AIB Group plc and Allied Irish Banks, P.L.C. Announces Appointment Andy Maguire as an Independent Non-Executive Director

Price target raised to €2.05

AIB Reportedly Hires Alantra to Sell British Small Business Loan Book

Full year 2020 earnings released: €0.30 loss per share (vs €0.12 profit in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations

Analysts update estimates

AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) reached agreement to acquire Goodbody Stockbrokers UC for €138 million.

New 90-day high: €1.81

Mars Capital Finance Ireland DAC entered into an agreement to acquire Non Performing Loan Portfolio of AIB Group plc (ISE:A5G) for approximately €400 million.

AIB Group plc and Allied Irish Banks, P.L.C. Appoint Fergal O'dwyer as an Independent Non-Executive Director

AIB Group plc to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 05, 2021

Aib Hires Terence Liston as Head of Corporate Development

New 90-day high: €1.79

Price target raised to €1.66

New 90-day high: €1.23

Aib Group plc Announces Resignation of Tomás O'midheach from All Executive Positions, Effective 4 November 2020

Price target raised to €1.73

New 90-day low - €1.01

First half earnings released