Stock Analysis

Here's Why China Datang Corporation Renewable Power (HKG:1798) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

SEHK:1798
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power Co., Limited (HKG:1798) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for China Datang Corporation Renewable Power

What Is China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had CN¥44.6b of debt, up from CN¥38.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.64b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥42.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1798 Debt to Equity History March 9th 2022

How Strong Is China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had liabilities of CN¥19.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥44.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.64b in cash and CN¥16.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥44.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥18.2b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.5, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. On a lighter note, we note that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Datang Corporation Renewable Power can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider China Datang Corporation Renewable Power to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Datang Corporation Renewable Power .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1798

China Datang Corporation Renewable Power

Engages in the development, investment, construction, and management of wind, solar, and biomass power sources the People's Republic of China.

Fair value with moderate growth potential.

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