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ANE (Cayman) (HKG:9956) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at ANE (Cayman) (HKG:9956) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for ANE (Cayman), this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.16 = CN¥591m ÷ (CN¥5.8b - CN¥2.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Therefore, ANE (Cayman) has an ROCE of 16%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 5.1% generated by the Transportation industry.
View our latest analysis for ANE (Cayman)
In the above chart we have measured ANE (Cayman)'s prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for ANE (Cayman) .
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at ANE (Cayman), we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 53% over the last three years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, ANE (Cayman) has decreased its current liabilities to 37% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by ANE (Cayman)'s reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And with the stock having returned a mere 1.6% in the last year to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
If you're still interested in ANE (Cayman) it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation for 9956 to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:9956
ANE (Cayman)
An investment holding company operates an express freight network in the less-than-truckload (LTL) market in China.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.