Revenues Tell The Story For Air China Limited (HKG:753) As Its Stock Soars 25%
Air China Limited (HKG:753) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 42%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Air China's P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Airlines industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Air China
How Has Air China Performed Recently?
Air China certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Air China will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Air China's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Air China's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 41% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 109% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.9% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.9% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this in mind, it makes sense that Air China's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Air China's P/S?
Air China's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've seen that Air China maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Air China with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:753
Air China
Provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.
Similar Companies
Market Insights
Community Narratives
